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Prediction markets as a tool for management of political risk

Bergfjord, Ole Jakob
Peer reviewed, Journal article
Published version
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URI
https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2679632
Date
2008
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Original version
Bergfjord, O. (2012). Prediction markets as a tool for management of political risk. The Journal of Prediction Markets, 2(2), 1–12.   10.5750/jpm.v2i2.438
Abstract
Recently, several prediction markets for various events have been launched. The literature so far has focused on the predictive power of such markets. This paper considers such markets as tools for management of political risk. It outlines a model for use and pricing of such assets, and discusses the various benefits of a well-functioning, liquid prediction market for political decisions.
Publisher
University of Buckingham Press
Journal
The Journal of Prediction Markets

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