Browsing HVL Open by Author "Arnesen, Sveinung"
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Prediction Markets vs Polls – an Examination of Accuracy for the 2008 and 2012 Elections.
Arnesen, Sveinung; Bergfjord, Ole Jakob (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)Which technique is more accurate in predicting the outcome of U.S. presidential elections, polls or prediction markets? Several studies on this have been conducted in the past. We use market data and poll numbers, included ...