• Prediction markets and contract design 

      Bergfjord, Ole Jakob (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2011)
      Traditionally, the main function of prediction markets (PMs) has been to provide information about probabilities for various events. Good information requires a well-functioning market, which in turn depends on sufficient ...
    • Prediction markets as a tool for management of political risk 

      Bergfjord, Ole Jakob (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2008)
      Recently, several prediction markets for various events have been launched. The literature so far has focused on the predictive power of such markets. This paper considers such markets as tools for management of political ...
    • Prediction Markets vs Polls – an Examination of Accuracy for the 2008 and 2012 Elections. 

      Arnesen, Sveinung; Bergfjord, Ole Jakob (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014)
      Which technique is more accurate in predicting the outcome of U.S. presidential elections, polls or prediction markets? Several studies on this have been conducted in the past. We use market data and poll numbers, included ...